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THE INVALIDITY OF
PUNCTUATED EQUILIBRIUM
In an earlier chapter, we examined how the fossil record
clearly invalidates the hypotheses of the Darwinist theory. We saw
that the different living groups in the fossil record emerged suddenly,
and stayed fixed for millions of years without undergoing any changes.
This great discovery of paleontology shows that living species exist
with no evolutionary processes behind them.
This fact was ignored for many years by paleontologists,
who kept hoping that imaginary "intermediate forms" would one day
be found. In the 1970s, some paleontologists accepted that this
was an unfounded hope and that the "gaps" in the fossil record had
to be accepted as a reality. However, because these paleontologists
were unable to relinquish the theory of evolution, they tried to
explain this reality by modifying the theory. And so was born the
"punctuated equilibrium" model of evolution, which differs from
neo-Darwinism in a number of respects.
This model began to be vigorously promoted at the start
of the 1970s by the paleontologists Stephen Jay Gould of Harvard
University and Niles Eldredge of the American Museum of Natural
History. They summarized the evidence presented by the fossil record
as revealing two basic characteristics:
1. Stasis
2. Sudden appearance 172
In order to explain these two facts within the theory
of evolution, Gould and Eldredge proposed that living species came
about not through a series of small changes, as Darwin had maintained,
but by sudden, large ones.
This theory was actually a modified
form of the "Hopeful Monster" theory put forward by the German paleontologist
Otto Schindewolf in the 1930s. Schindewolf suggested that living
things evolved not, as neo-Darwinism had proposed, gradually over
time through small mutations, but suddenly through giant ones. When
giving examples of his theory, Schindewolf claimed that the first
bird in history had emerged from a reptile egg by a huge mutation-in
other words, through a giant, coincidental change in genetic structure.173
According to this theory, some land animals might have suddenly
turned into giant whales through a comprehensive change that they
underwent. This fantastic theory of Schindewolf's was taken up and
defended by the Berkeley University geneticist Richard Goldschmidt.
But the theory was so inconsistent that it was quickly abandoned.
The factor that obliged Gould
and Eldredge to embrace this theory again was, as we have already
established, that the fossil record is at odds with the Darwinistic
notion of step by step evolution through minor changes. The fact
of stasis and sudden emergence in the record was so empirically
well supported that they had to resort to a more refined version
of the "hopeful monster" theory again to explain the situation.
Gould's famous article "Return of the Hopeful Monster" was a statement
of this obligatory step back.174
Gould and Eldredge did not just repeat Schindewolf's
fantastic theory, of course. In order to give the theory a "scientific"
appearance, they tried to develop some kind of mechanism for these
sudden evolutionary leaps. (The interesting term, "punctuated equilibrium,"
they chose for this theory is a sign of this struggle to give it
a scientific veneer.) In the years that followed, Gould and Eldredge's
theory was taken up and expanded by some other paleontologists.
However, the punctuated equilibrium theory of evolution was based
on even more contradictions and inconsistencies than the neo-Darwinist
theory of evolution.
The Mechanism of Punctuated Equilibrium
The punctuated equilibrium theory of evolution, in
its present state, holds that living populations show no changes
over long periods of time, but stay in a kind of equilibrium. According
to this viewpoint, evolutionary changes take place in short time
frames and in very restricted populations-that is, the equilibrium
is divided into separate periods or, in other words, "punctuated."
Because the population is very small, large mutations are chosen
by natural selection and thus enable a new species to emerge.
For instance, according to this theory, a species of
reptile survives for millions of years, undergoing no changes. But
one small group of reptiles somehow leaves this species and undergoes
a series of major mutations, the reason for which is not made clear.
Those mutations which are advantageous quickly take root in this
restricted group. The group evolves rapidly, and in a short time
turns into another species of reptile, or even a mammal. Because
this process happens very quickly, and in a small population, there
are very few fossils of intermediate forms left behind, or maybe
none.
On close examination, this theory was actually proposed
to develop an answer to the question, "How can one imagine an evolutionary
period so rapid as not to leave any fossils behind it?" Two basic
hypotheses are accepted while developing this answer:
1. that macromutations-wide-ranging mutations leading
to large changes in living creatures' genetic make-up-bring advantages
and produce new genetic information; and
2. that small animal populations have greater potential
for genetic change.
However, both of these hypotheses are clearly at odds
with scientific knowledge.
The Misconception About Macromutations
The first hypothesis-that macromutations occur in large
numbers, making the emergence of new species possible-conflicts
with known facts of genetics.
One rule, put forward by R. A. Fisher,
one of the last century's best known geneticists, and based on observations,
clearly invalidates this hypothesis. Fisher states in his book The
Genetical Theory of Natural Selection that the likelihood that a
particular mutation will become fixed in a population is inversely
proportional to its effect on the phenotype.175
Or, to put it another way, the bigger the mutation, the less chance
it has of becoming a permanent trait within the group.
It is not hard to see the reason for this. Mutations,
as we have seen in earlier chapters, consist of chance changes in
genetic codes, and never have a beneficial influence on organisms'
genetic data. Quite the contrary: individuals affected by mutation
undergo serious illnesses and deformities. For this reason, the
more an individual is affected by mutation, the less chance it has
of surviving.
Ernst Mayr, the doyen of Darwinism, makes this comment
on the subject:
The occurrence of genetic monstrosities by
mutation … is well substantiated, but they are such evident freaks
that these monsters can be designated only as 'hopeless'. They are
so utterly unbalanced that they would not have the slightest chance
of escaping elimination through stabilizing selection … the more
drastically a mutation affects the phenotype, the more likely it
is to reduce fitness. To believe that such a drastic mutation would
produce a viable new type, capable of occupying a new adaptive zone,
is equivalent to believing in miracles … The finding of a suitable
mate for the 'hopeless monster' and the establishment of reproductive
isolation from the normal members of the parental population seem
to me insurmountable difficulties.176
It is obvious that mutations cannot bring about evolutionary development,
and this fact places both neo-Darwinism and the punctuated equilibrium
theory of evolution in a terrible difficulty. Since mutation is
a destructive mechanism, the macromutations that proponents of the
punctuated equilibrium theory talk about must have "macro" destructive
effects. Some evolutionists place their hopes in mutations in the
regulatory genes in DNA. But the feature of destructiveness which
applies to other mutations, applies to these, as well. The problem
is that mutation is a random change: any kind of random change in
a structure as complex as genetic data will lead to harmful results.

Two famous proponents of the punctuated
evolution model: Stephen Jay Gould and Niles Eldredge. |
In their book The Natural Limits to Biological Change,
the geneticist Lane Lester and the population biologist Raymond
Bohlin describe the blind alley represented by the notion of macromutation:
The overall factor that has come
up again and again is that mutation remains the ultimate source
of all genetic variation in any evolutionary model. Being unsatisfied
with the prospects of accumulating small point mutations, many are
turning to macromutations to explain the origin of evolutionary
novelties. Goldschmidt's hopeful monsters have indeed returned.
However, though macromutations of many varieties produce drastic
changes, the vast majority will be incapable of survival, let alone
show the marks of increasing complexity. If structural gene mutations
are inadequate because of their inability to produce significant
enough changes, then regulatory and developmental mutations appear
even less useful because of the greater likelihood of nonadaptive
or even destructive consequences… But one thing seems certain: at
present, the thesis that mutations, whether great or small, are
capable of producing limitless biological change is more an article
of faith than fact.177
Observation and experiment both show that mutations
do not enhance genetic data, but rather damage living things. Therefore,
it is clearly irrational for proponents of the punctuated equilibrium
theory to expect greater success from "mutations" than the mainstream
neo-Darwinists have found.
The Misconception About Restricted Populations
The second concept stressed by the proponents of punctuated
equilibrium theory is that of "restricted populations." By this,
they mean that the emergence of new species comes about in communities
containing very small numbers of plants or animals. According to
this claim, large populations of animals show no evolutionary development
and maintain their "stasis." But small groups sometimes become separated
from these communities, and these "isolated" groups mate only amongst
themselves. (It is hypothesized that this usually stems from geographical
conditions.) Macromutations are supposed to be most effective within
such small, inbreeding groups, and that is how rapid "speciation"
can take place.
But why do proponents of the punctuated equilibrium
theory insist so much on the concept of restricted populations?
The reason is clear: Their aim is provide an explanation for the
absence of intermediate forms in the fossil record.
However, scientific experiments
and observations carried out in recent years have revealed that
being in a restricted population is not an advantage from the genetic
point of view, but rather a disadvantage. Far from developing in
such a way as to give rise to new species, small populations give
rise to serious genetic defects. The reason for this is that in
restricted populations individuals must continually mate within
a narrow genetic pool. For this reason, normally heterozygous individuals
become increasingly homozygous. This means that defective genes
which are normally recessive become dominant, with the result that
genetic defects and sickness increase within the population.178
In order to examine this matter,
a 35-year study of a small, inbred population of chickens was carried
out. It was found that the individual chickens became progressively
weaker from the genetic point of view over time. Their egg production
fell from 100 to 80 percent of individuals, and their fertility
declined from 93 to 74 percent. But when chickens from other regions
were added to the population, this trend toward genetic weakening
was halted and even reversed. With the infusion of new genes from
outside the restricted group, eventually the indicators of the health
of the population returned to normal.179
This and similar discoveries have clearly revealed
that the claim by the proponents of punctuated equilibrium theory
that small populations are the source of evolution has no scientific
validity.
Conclusion
Richard Dawkins, busy indoctrinating
the young through Darwinist propaganda. |
Scientific discoveries do not support the claims of
the punctuated equilibrium theory of evolution. The claim that organisms
in small populations can swiftly evolve with macromutations is actually
even less valid than the model of evolution proposed by the mainstream
neo-Darwinists.
So, why has this theory become so popular in recent
years? This question can be answered by looking at the debates within
the Darwinist community. Almost all the proponents of the punctuated
equilibrium theory of evolution are paleontologists. This group,
led by such famous paleontologists as Steven Jay Gould, Niles Eldredge,
and Steven M. Stanley, clearly see that the fossil record disproves
the Darwinist theory. However, they have conditioned themselves
to believe in evolution, no matter what. So for this reason they
have resorted to the punctuated equilibrium theory as the only way
of accounting even in part for the facts of the fossil record.
On the other hand, geneticists, zoologists, and anatomists
see that there is no mechanism in nature which can give rise to
any "punctuations," and for this reason they insist on defending
the gradualistic Darwinist model of evolution. The Oxford University
zoologist Richard Dawkins fiercely criticizes the proponents of
the punctuated equilibrium model of evolution, and accuses them
of "destroying the theory of evolution's credibility."
The result of this dialogue of the deaf is the scientific
crisis the theory of evolution now faces. We are dealing with an
evolution myth which agrees with no experiments or observations,
and no paleontological discoveries. Every evolutionist theoretician
tries to find support for the theory from his own field of expertise,
but then enters into conflict with discoveries from other branches
of science. Some people try to gloss over this confusion with superficial
comments such as "science progresses by means of academic disputes
of this kind." However, the problem is not that the mental gymnastics
in these debates are being carried out in order to discover a correct
scientific theory; rather, the problem is that speculations are
being advanced dogmatically and irrationally in order to stubbornly
defend a theory that is demonstrably false.
However, the theoreticians of punctuated
equilibrium have made one important, albeit unwitting, contribution
to science: They have clearly shown that the fossil record conflicts
with the concept of evolution. Phillip Johnson, one of the world's
foremost critics of the theory of evolution, has described Stephen
Jay Gould, one of the most important punctuated equilibrium theoreticians,
as "the Gorbachev of Darwinism."180 Gorbachev
thought that there were defects in the Communist state system of
the Soviet Union and tried to "reform" that system. However, the
problems which he thought were defects were in fact fundamental
to the nature of the system itself. That is why Communism melted
away in his hands.
The same fate will soon await Darwinism and the other
models of evolution.
172
Stephen Jay Gould, "Evolution's Erratic Pace," Natural History,
vol. 86, May 1977, p. 14.
173 Stephen M. Stanley, Macroevolution: Pattern
and Process, W. H. Freeman and Co., San Francisco, 1979, pp. 35,
159.
174 S. J. Gould, "Return of the Hopeful Monster,"
The Panda's Thumb, W. W. Norton Co., New York, 1980, pp. 186-193.
175 R. A. Fisher, The Genetical Theory of Natural
Selection, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1930.
176 Ernst Mayr, Populations, Species, and Evolution,
Belknap Press, Cambridge, 1970, p. 235.
177 Lane P. Lester, Raymond G. Bohlin, The Natural
Limits to Biological Change, Probe Books, Dallas, 1989, pp. 141-142.
(emphasis added)
178 M. E. Soulé and L. S. Mills, "Enhanced: No
need to isolate genetics," Science, 1998, vol. 282, p. 1658.
179 R. L. Westemeier, J. D. Brawn, J. D. Brawn,
S. A. Simpson, T. L. Esker, R. W. Jansen, J. W. Walk, E. L. Kershner,
J. L. Bouzat, and K. N. Paige, "Tracking the long-term decline and
recovery of an isolated population", Science, 1998, vol. 282, p.
1695.
180 Phillip Johnson, Objections Sustained, Intervarsity
Press, Illinois, 1998, pp. 77-85. |